J Urol Oncol > Volume 18(2); 2020 > Article
Kim, Ku, Park, Hong, Kim, and Ha: Risk Factors for pT3a Prostate Cancer in the Patients With cT1-2 on Preoperative Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging



Our study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) to assess the capsular extension of prostate cancer. Risk factors for extraprostatic invasion or microscopic invasion of bladder neck (pT3a stage) in the cases showing localized disease findings on MRI scan were also identified.

Materials and Methods

We identified 198 patients who underwent robot-assisted or conventional laparoscopic radical prostatectomy in our institute between June, 2016 and May, 2018. Altogether, 170 patients with preoperational mpMRI scans and complete pathologic data were included. Positive and negative predictive values of mpMRI to detect capsular extension were estimated. Chi-square test was performed for ratio variables. Logistic regression analysis was performed to identify capsular invasion risk factors.


Median age and prostate-specific antigen level were 68 years and 7.5 ng/mL, respectively. Based on findings, 16 patients (9.4%) were identified as cT3a stage (unilateral or bilateral extraprostatic extension), whereas 37 patients (21.8%) as pT3a stage. Positive and negative predictive values of mpMRI to detect capsular extension were 75.0% and 73.9%, respectively. In the logistic regression analysis, positive biopsy core rate was the significant predictor for pT3a disease in the patients with negative capsular invasion findings on mpMRI (p<0.001). According to receiver-operating characteristic curve (area under the curve=0.691, p=0.001), the positive biopsy core rate of 0.275 was the best threshold.


Multiparametric MRI is an appropriate test to predict pT3a disease preoperatively. The patients with positive core rate over 0.275 may have pT3a diseases despite negative image findings.


Prostate cancer is one of the most frequently diagnosed malignancies worldwide. The International Agency for Research on Cancer estimated that 1,276,106 new cases were diagnosed globally in 2018.1 Early diagnosis and curative treatment may reduce the cancer mortality in the patients with intermediate and high risks. In the cases of low-risk disease, overdetection and overtreatment remain as significant concerns. The survival benefits of radical prosta-tectomy over watchful waiting were not identified in the patients with low risk disease.2,3 Moreover, active surveillance (AS) is a reasonable management option for the patients with low-risk prostate cancer.4
Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is commonly used in detecting and monitoring prostate cancer. The performance of multiparametric MRI (mpMRI) in evaluating prostate cancer has been demonstrated in several studies.5-7 The val-ue of MRI scans with or without targeted biopsy in selecting eligible patients for AS and monitoring cancer pro-gression in AS setting have been studied recently.8-11 However, researches on capsular invasion prediction of MRI scan are limited. Extracapsular extension (ECE) of prostate cancer, indicating the T3a stage, can be an im-portant clinical factor in deciding therapeutic options for prostate cancer.
Thus, we aimed to investigate the value of mpMRI to predict the ECE of prostate cancer and identify the risk fac-tors for pathological T3a stage in the cases of clinical T1-2 disease based on MRI findings.


1. Study Population

Between June, 2016 and May, 2018, 198 consecutive patients who underwent robot-assisted or conventional laparo-scopic radical prostatectomy by a single surgeon in our in-stitute were identified. There were no differences in surgical techniques between robot-assisted or conventional laparo-scopic radical prostatectomy groups. Excluding 28 men in-eligible for this study, 170 patients with preoperational mpMRI scans and complete pathologic data were enrolled. Exclusion criteria were absence of preoperative MRI scan or prostate biopsy records, incompleteness of MRI findings, pathologic diagnosis other than prostatic adenocarcinoma, and history of surgical intervention or androgen deprivation therapy before radical prostatectomy.

2. MRI Data Acquisition

One hundred seventy patients underwent 3 T mpMRI scans preoperatively (Achieva TX, Philips Healthcare, Best, the Netherlands). Multiparametric MRI sequences included triplanar T2-weighted imaging and high b-value diffusion-weighted imaging with apparent diffusion coefficient maps. We did not conduct the endorectal coil scans. MRI scans were reviewed by 2 radiologists (SK and SBH) with 25 and 10 years of experiences, respectively. The prostatic lesions were evaluated based on the Prostate Imaging— Reporting and Data System (PI-RADS) version 2 guide-lines.12-14 Any disagreement was resolved to consensus by interobserver discussion.15 Researchers encouraged the patients to evacuate the rectum before the MRI tests. To ac-quire accurate estimates of prostatic volume, the ellipsoidal formula was used.16

3. Pathological Data Assessment

The prostatic specimens, samples from preoperative pros-tate biopsy, and radical prostatectomy, were evaluated at the department of pathology in our institution. A single genito-urinary pathologist (WYP) with 12 years of experience ex-amined all the prostatic samples. Pathological stage was de-termined by cancer staging system (7th edition) of American Joint Committee on Cancer.17

4. Prostate Biopsy Procedure

Prostate biopsies were conducted by the urologists in the department of urology. Out of 170 patients, 152 patients un-derwent the transrectal ultrasound (TRUS)-guided systemic biopsy with 12 cores; 12>cores and 13 cores biopsies were performed in 14 and 4 patients, respectively. Patients under-went prostate biopsies under local anesthetic injection of 2 syringes of lubricant mixed with lidocaine into the rectum. Rectal enema and povidone-iodine solution preparation were administered to prevent any post-procedural infection. Affiniti 70 ultrasound system (Philips Healthcare) was used.

5. Statistical Analysis

Continuous variables were presented as median with in-terquartile range or mean with 95% confidence interval. Categorical parameters were listed as numbers with percen-tages. Chi-squared test was used for the analysis of the pro-portional data. For the risk factor analysis, logistic re-gression test was conducted. A receiver-operating character-istic (ROC) curve was plotted to calculate the cutoff value of the identified risk factor. Statistical significance was con-sidered at p<0.05.

6. Ethics Statement and Description of Participants

This is an observational study conducted in a retro-spective manner at a single tertiary referral hospital. The re-searchers abided by the Good Clinical Practices and the eth-ical principles of the Declaration of Helsinki. Patients’ data were acquired from electronic medical records and picture archiving and communication systems. The Institutional Review Board of Pusan National University Hospital ap-proved the protocol of this study (2002-006-087).


1. Clinical Characteristics

Clinical characteristics of 170 patients are listed in Table 1. Median age, prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level, and PSA density (PSAD) are 68 years, 7.5 ng/mL, and 0.23 ng/mL2, respectively. The mean number of total biopsy and positive biopsy cores are 12.4 and 4.6 leading to the pos-itive rate of 0.38, respectively. Out of 170 patients, 93 (54.7%) and 77 (45.3%) underwent robot-assisted laparo-scopic radical prostatectomy (RARP) and conventional lapa-roscopic radical prostatectomy (LRP), respectively. We can-not identify the significant differences of clinical character-istics between RARP and LRP groups. The ratios of con-firmative R1 classification are similar between 2 groups (Table 2).
Table 1.
Clinical characteristics of study population (n=170)
Characteristic Value
Age (yr), median (IQR) 68 (64-72)
PSA (ng/mL), median (IQR) 7.5 (5.6-12.2)
Prostate volume (mL), median (IQR) 36.3 (27.9-44.8)
PSAD (ng/mL2), median (IQR) 0.23 (0.15-0.38)
Prostate Biopsy  
  Biopsy core number, mean (95% CI) 12.4 (12.1-12.8)
  Positive core number, mean (95% CI) 4.6 (4.1-5.2)
  Positive rate, mean (95% CI) 0.38 (0.34-0.42)
  RARP (%) 93 (54.7)
  LRP (%) 77 (45.3)

IQR: interquartile range, PSA: prostate-specific antigen, PSAD: PSA density, CI: confidence interval, RARP: robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy, LRP: laparoscopic radical prostatectomy.

Table 2.
Clinical characteristics of RARP and LRP groups (n=170)
Variable RARP (n=93) LRP (n=77) p-value
Age (yr), median (IQR) 67 (63-71) 68 (65-73) 0.149
PSA (ng/mL), median (IQR) 7.4 (5.8-12.2) 8.2 (5.5-12.2) 0.175
Prostate volume (mL), median (IQR) 37.3 (27.9-46.3) 35.6 (27.9-44.0) 0.197
PSAD (ng/mL2), median (IQR) 0.22 (0.16-0.37) 0.24 (0.15-0.44) 0.264
Prostate Biopsy      
  Biopsy core number, mean (95% CI) 12.6 (12.2-13.1) 12.2 (11.7-12.7) 0.210
  Positive core number, mean (95% CI) 5.1 (4.4-5.8) 4.2 (3.4-4.9) 0.090
  Positive rate, mean (95% CI) 0.40 (0.35-0.46) 0.35 (0.29-0.41) 0.228
Residual tumor classification of R1 (%) 41.9 32.5 0.205

RARP: robot-assisted laparoscopic radical prostatectomy, LRP: laparoscopic radical prostatectomy, IQR: interquartile range, PSA: prostate-specific antigen, PSAD: PSA density, CI: confidence interval, R1: microscopic residual tumor.

2. Comparison of Clinical and Pathological T Stage

The distributions of clinical and pathological T stage are demonstrated in Fig. 1. Based on the mpMRI findings, 136 (80%) and 16 patients (9.4%) are classified as clinical T1-2 and T3a stages, respectively. 104 (61.2%) and 37 patients (21.8%) belongs to pathological T2 and T3a stage, res-pectively. Twenty-one patients are recategorized to T3a stage after prostatectomy. The proportion of T3b stage is also higher in the pathological (28 patients, 16.5%) than in the clinical stage distribution (18 patients, 10.6%).
Fig. 1.
Distributions of clinical and pathological T stage of 170 patients.

3. International Society of Urological Pathology Grade of Prostate Specimen

The International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) grade distribution of prostate biopsy samples and prostatec-tomy specimen is listed in Table 3. The ISUP grade dis-tributions between 2 type of prostate specimen are sig-nificantly different from each other (p<0.001). The prostate samples of ISUP grades 1, 4, and 5 are more frequently ob-served in the preoperative biopsy than in confirmative pathology. After prostatectomy, the proportions of the pros-tate specimen with ISUP grades 2 and 3 have increased; the ratios of ISUP grades 2/3 specimen are 22.4%/9.4% in biop-sy and 50.0%/25.3% in prostatectomy, respectively.
Table 3.
ISUP grade of prostate specimen (n=170)
ISUP grade Biopsy Prostatectomy p-value
1 71 (41.8) 28 (16.5) <0.001
2 38 (22.4) 85 (50.0)  
3 16 (9.4) 43 (25.3)  
4 33 (19.4) 5 (2.9)  
5 12 (7.1) 9 (5.3)  

Values are presented as number (%).

ISUP: International Society of Urological Pathology.

The distributions of ISUP grades are similar between RARP and LRP groups (p=0.991 and p=0.726 for biopsy and prostatectomy ISUP grade distribution, respectively).

4. Performance of MRI Scan Predicting ECE

Four parameters regarding prediction of ECE were inves-tigated in this study; positive predictive value (PPV), neg-ative predictive value (NPV), sensitivity, and specificity. The PPV and NPV to detect ECE in the final pathological specimen are 75.0% and 73.9%, respectively. The sensi-tivity of MRI scan for ECE detection is 40.0%. The specif-icity, however, is 92.7% which is higher than the value of sensitivity. We can identify the similar trends of the 4 pa-rameters between RARP and LRP.

5. Risk Factors for pT3a Stage in cT1-2 Patients

To identify the risk factors for the pathological ECE in cT1-2 cases, we performed the logistic regression analysis including age, PSA, PSAD, number of systemic biopsy cores, number of positive biopsy cores, positive biopsy core rate, ISUP grade of biopsy samples, prostate volume, and clinical T stage. Positive biopsy core rate is defined as the ratio of the number of positive biopsy cores over the num-ber of systemic biopsy cores. Clinical T1c, T2a, T2b, and T2c stages are included in the test. The results of the logis-tic regression analysis are demonstrated in Table 4. The positive biopsy core rate is the only significant risk factor for pathological capsule invasion in cT1-2 patients (p< 0.001). We plotted the ROC curve of positive biopsy core rate to estimate the threshold to predict pathological ECE (Fig. 2). The area under the curve (AUC) is 0.691 with the best cutoff value of 0.275.
Table 4.
Risk factors for ECE in cT1-2 patients (n=136)
Variable Odds ratio 95% CI p-value
PSA 1.14 0.99-1.32 0.074
PSAD 0.05 0.00-1.11 0.058
Positive biopsy core rate 32.08 4.89-210.28 <0.001

ECE: extracapsular extension, cT1-2: clinical T stage 1 and 2, CI: confidence interval, PSA: prostate-specific antigen, PSAD: PSA density.

Fig. 2.
Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve of positive biopsy core rate in cT1-2 patients. Blue line: positive biopsy core rate, green line: reference line. p=0.001. According to ROC curve (area under the curve=0.691), the positive biopsy core rate of 0.275 is the cutoff value in this study. The patients with positive biopsy core rate over 0.275 are likely to have a pT3a disease despite of negative image findings for extracap-sular extension (sensitivity, 0.611; specificity, 0.620).


The clinical cancer stage is the most important factor for the determination of the best therapeutic option for prostate cancer patients. Particularly, the precise prediction for ECE before prostatectomy is one of the most significant factors. The presence of ECE indicates high-risk disease and the need for aggressive disease management options other than AS.
It is well established that the prevalence of ECE varied from 16.5% to 53.0% by the risk groups.18-21 In our study, the prevalence of ECE was 21.8%, which is attributed to the high proportion of cT1-2 patients (80.0%) of the cohort. Multiparametric MRI is considered as the best preoperative predictor for ECE at the prostatectomy.20 According to Somford et al.,20 the accuracy of mpMRI for ECE was 73.8% in overall stages. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV were reported as 58.2%, 89.1%, 84.1%, and 68.3%, respectively. In this study, the accuracy of ECE prediction of mpMRI was 81.2% with sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 40.0%, 92.7%, 75.0%, and 73.9%, respectively. The accuracy of the MRI tests in our study was higher than in Somford et al.'s due to the lower prevalence (21.8% vs. 49.7%) and high specificity (92.7% vs. 89.1%) of this study. In the analysis of predictive values of mpMRI in the subgroups of different surgical methods, we did not demon-strate any significant differences between RARP and LRP subgroups.
Several clinical factors affect the presence of ECE at prostatectomy: preoperative PSA, biopsy Gleason score, and clinical stages.20,22 Studies on ECE in cT1-2 cases con-firmed by preoperative MRI scan, however, are limited. In this research, we performed the logistic regression analysis to identify the risk factors for ECE in cT1-2 patients. Age, PSA, PSAD, number of systemic biopsy cores, number of positive biopsy cores, positive biopsy core rate, ISUP grade of biopsy samples, prostate volume, and clinical T stage were included in the analysis. We demonstrated that pos-itive biopsy core rate was the only significant risk factor for ECE at prostatectomy. PSA, ISUP grade of biopsy sam-ples, and clinical T stage were not proven to be risk factors in this study. Our cohort of ECE risk factor analysis was limited to the cT1-2 patients, so the risk factors for ECE could be different compared to the literature.
For the identified risk factor, positive biopsy core rate, we plotted ROC curve and demonstrated the positive biopsy core rate of 0.275 as the best threshold value. AUC, sensi-tivity, and specificity were 0.691, 0.611, and 0.620, respectively. Thus, patients with positive core rate over 0.275 may have a pathological ECE, although capsular invasion is not expected based on MRI findings. The ratio of ECE at prostatectomy was higher in the positive biopsy core rate over the 0.275 subgroup (36.7%) than below the 0.275 sub-group (18.4%; p=0.017).
This study does have limitations. First, we could not build the predictive model for ECE risk factor using the mpMRI parameters. In the logistic regression analysis in-cluding PI-RADS score as an independent variable, PI-RADS score was identified as a significant risk factor with p-value of 0.021. The goodness of fit of this model, however, was poor with p<0.001. The positive biopsy core rate, the only significant risk factor for ECE in this study, was not a predictor directly associated with prostate images. Second, the analysis on the correlation between the locations of pathologic ECE and positive biopsy cores could not be conducted due to the absence of locational information of ECE on the confirmative pathologic reports. Finally, this was a single center retrospective study with the unavoidable limitations of such kinds.


Multiparametric MRI can be a reasonable diagnostic tool to predict ECE in the preoperative period. The patients with high positive core rate are associated with ECE at prostatec-tomy though the prostatic capsular invasion is not proven in MRI scan.



The authors claim no conflicts of interest.


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